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Friday, December 1, 2017
Conversatorio con el General Óscar Naranjo, Vicepresidente de Colombia, por Luis Carlos Battista y Anastasia Sendoun
El viernes 17 de noviembre, El Diálogo copatrocinó un conversatorio con
el General Óscar Naranjo, Vicepresidente de Colombia. En este
conversatorio, que se desarrolló en el Wilson Center, el General Naranjo
reiteró las oportunidades económicas y sociales que abre para Colombia
el proceso de paz. Según el Vicepresidente, “sin el conflicto con las
FARC, Colombia está experimentando la tasa más baja de homicidios de los
últimos 42 años.” En su opinión, el actual acuerdo logrado para el cese
de las hostilidades tiene el potencial de ser el más eficaz que se haya
firmado en las últimas cinco décadas.
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Latin America Advisor: Will Venezuela Be Able to Restructure Its Billions in Debt?
President Nicolás Maduro this month called for a restructuring
of Venezuela’s massive debt, estimated at $120 billion. The announcement
led to a selloff in the country’s bonds and was seen as a sign that
Maduro’s government may finally be reaching the limits of its ability to
pay its debts. Russia later agreed to a $3.5 billion debt restructuring
with Venezuela. How much success will Maduro have in restructuring
Venezuela’s debt, and could such a move lead Venezuela to emerge from
its economic crisis? Will support from foreign governments be enough for
Venezuela to stave off default? What effect are U.S. economic sanctions
having on Venezuela, and how would the sanctions inhibit a potential
debt restructuring? What would a restructuring attempt mean for Maduro
and his hold on power?
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Democracia en la Era Digital, por Catalina Botero y Michael Camilleri
Libertad de Expresión en las Américas y el “Derecho al Olvido” Europeo
Este informe del Programa de Estado de Derecho Peter D. Bell analiza y evalúa los méritos y las consecuencias del “derecho al olvido en línea”, una doctrina legal desarrollada en los últimos años por los tribunales de la Unión Europea para proteger la privacidad individual. Este derecho emergente les permite a las personas solicitar que los motores de búsqueda ‘desreferencien’ la información sobre ellos que consideran inadecuada, irrelevante o excesiva. El Tribunal de Justicia de la Unión Europea está considerando expandir la doctrina más allá de los límites de la UE, aplicando esencialmente el derecho a ser olvidado en línea en todas las jurisdicciones de todo el mundo.
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Cuba’s future after Raul Castro retires, by Michael Shifter and Susan Roberts
A year following the death of Cuban leader Fidel Castro, the
relationship between the U.S. and the island nation has dramatically
changed. To discuss this and more, President of the Inter-American
Dialogue, Michael Shifter spoke with CGTN’s Susan Roberts.
Comments by Michael Shifter:
“The internal politics of Cuba are pretty opaque. It is hard to know exactly what is going on in the inner circle at the highest levels of the Cuban government, but it seems clear that Raul Castro will step aside and there will be a new President, most likely [Miguel] Díaz-Canel, the current Vice-President. But Raul Castro will still retain a lot of power as head of the communist party. How much he gives up, actually, we’ll have to see. Cuba is going through a hard time, I think they are preparing for continuity, I don’t think we should expect any dramatic changes, but there may be changes on the margins.”
“The communist party is the only party [in Cuba], so this is the chief
mechanism for making policy decisions, and so [Raul Castro] will not
give up his authority and his power completely, but Díaz-Canel or
somebody else, but most likely Díaz-Canel will be the new President.
That new President will be able to take a new direction, and this will
be the first time ever that there won’t be a Castro as the head of the
country.”
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China and LAC: The Zhuhai Connection, by Margaret Myers and Ricardo Barrios
The coastal city of Zhuhai in China’s Guangdong province is quickly
becoming a focal point of China’s efforts to strengthen relations with
the Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region. Government officials,
businesspeople, and academics all appear to have joined forces to make
the city a so-called “future bridge” in the China-LAC relationship.
Numerous LAC-focused initiatives are underway in the Macau adjacent city. In November, Zhuhai held the country’s first China-Latin America & Caribbean International Exposition, which reportedly attracted some 250 Latin America enterprises. Zhuhai will also host the next China-LAC Business Summit, organized by the Inter-American Development Bank and Chinese partner organizations.
Numerous LAC-focused initiatives are underway in the Macau adjacent city. In November, Zhuhai held the country’s first China-Latin America & Caribbean International Exposition, which reportedly attracted some 250 Latin America enterprises. Zhuhai will also host the next China-LAC Business Summit, organized by the Inter-American Development Bank and Chinese partner organizations.
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El desarrollo de la primera infancia y el futuro de América Latina, por Ariel Fizbein
La agenda de desarrollo infantil acaba de recibir un fuerte impulso en
América Latina. Este 15 y 16 de noviembre, el primer foro
latinoamericano sobre el desarrollo infantil temprano tomó lugar en
Bogotá, Colombia. El mayor logro del foro fue la firma de una Declaración de políticas
por representantes de alto nivel de 11 países, los tres bancos de
desarrollo más importantes operando en la región (CAF – Banco de
Desarrollo de América Latina, el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, y
el Banco Mundial), UNICEF, y representantes de organizaciones y alianzas
de sociedad civil. La ceremonia de firma fue presidida por el Presidente Juan Manuel Santos, quien dio su entusiasta aprobación de la iniciativa.
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https://www.thedialogue.org/blogs/2017/11/el-desarrollo-de-la-primera-infancia-y-el-futuro-de-america-latina/?lang=es
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Latin America’s Presidential Elections: Are Mexico, Brazil and Colombia Ready for Anti-Establishment Candidates?, by Michael Shifter
Next year, critical elections in Latin America’s three most populous
countries—Colombia, Mexico and Brazil—are likely to reveal a distemper
stemming from citizen disgust with a mix of corruption scandals,
mediocre economies, unremitting violence and a largely discredited
political class. All three presidential contests are wide open and ripe
for anti-establishment challengers.
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